What is the total valuation and growth trajectory of the Australian consumer fixed market?

The market is forecast to expand at a 3.4% CAGR to reach $10,043 million by FY29. This growth is almost exclusively supported by fixed broadband revenue, which will account for $10,008 million of the total market value by the end of the period.

Is there any remaining value in traditional fixed voice services?

Fixed voice-only services are in terminal structural decline, with revenue projected to collapse from $124 million in FY24 to $35 million by FY29. This represents a consistent annual contraction of 22.3% as the market shifts entirely toward data-centric connectivity.

Which players are currently gaining the most traction in the broadband sector?

The 'big three' incumbents—Telstra, Optus, and TPG—are losing market share to premium challengers including Aussie Broadband, Superloop, and Vocus. Despite a high household penetration rate of 91%, these challengers are successfully capturing customers during the transition to higher-tier fibre technologies.

How much data are Australian households actually consuming?

Average monthly data consumption per fixed broadband connection is expected to reach 517GB in 2025. This high volume of traffic is driving the transition toward FTTP/B technologies and away from legacy copper-based xDSL and FTTN infrastructure.

Is Fixed Wireless Access becoming a genuine competitor to the NBN?

Fixed Wireless Access (FWA) has established a firm foothold as a lower-cost alternative, securing 6.5% of all fixed broadband connections as of June 2024. Its growth continues to pressure traditional NBN wholesale models by leveraging existing mobile network infrastructure.

Telecom

Digital Infrastructure

Premium

Australia Consumer Fixed Telecommunications Forecast 2025

Fixed broadband revenue will grow at a 3.6% CAGR to $10,008m by FY29, offsetting a 22.3% decline in voice-only services.

David Kennedy · Venture Insights20 June 2025Period: FY258 min read

3.4%↑

CAGR for total consumer fixed market (voice and broadband) FY24-29

$10,043m↑

Total consumer fixed market revenue forecast for FY29

Locked

+1more stats

Companies covered:

Abstract

All forecasting is based on a June year end. All dollar amounts are AU$.

Key Takeaways

The total Australian consumer fixed telecommunications market is forecast to grow at a 3.4% CAGR to reach $10,043 million by FY29.
Fixed broadband revenue is the primary driver, expected to grow at 3.6% CAGR to reach $10,008 million by the end of the forecast period.
Consumer fixed voice-only services are in structural decline, with revenue projected to fall from $124 million in FY24 to just $35 million in FY29.

Australia Consumer Fixed Telecommunications Forecast 2025

Abstract

Key Takeaways

What's Inside

Methodology

Introduction and methodology

Australia consumer fixed voice-only market forecast

Australia consumer fixed broadband market forecast

Frequently Asked Questions

Abstract

Key Takeaways

What's Inside

Methodology

Introduction and methodology

Australia consumer fixed voice-only market forecast

Australia consumer fixed broadband market forecast

Frequently Asked Questions

Unlock the full report

Free

Lite

Team